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S&P 500 E-Mini Dec '18 (ESZ18)

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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Market News and Commentary

U.S. Stocks Close Higher on Strength in Technology Stocks and Dovish Fed Expectations

The S&P 500 ($SPX) on Monday closed up by +2.69 (+0.09), the Dow Jones Industrials index ($DOWI) closed up +22.92 (+0.09%), and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) closed up +47.41 (+0.63%). U.S. stock indexes moved higher Monday on strength in technology stocks along with expectations for a dovish outcome to this week's FOMC meeting. A rally in European bank stocks led the Euro Stoxx 50 higher Monday and provided support to U.S. equities after Deutsche Bank said it is considering creating a "bad bank" to wind down its long-held risk-weighted assets. U.S. stock prices also moved higher on speculation that Monday's weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data will prompt a dovish response from the Fed at Tuesday and Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Monday's June Empire manufacturing index plunged by -25.4 points to a 2-1/2 year low of -8.6, weaker than expectations of -6.8 to 11.0, and the June NAHB housing market index unexpectedly fell -2 to 64, weaker than expectations of +1 to 67. Monday's comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure also bolstered the outlook for a dovish Fed when he said, "the constellation of prices in the bond market paints a picture of the global economy which is very bleak" and the ECB will act if needed to support the economy. The U.S. stock market continues to be undercut by concern about the U.S./China trade war after Commerce Secretary Ross said on Sunday that the prospect of a major trade deal is unlikely to emerge from a possible meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit is Osaka later his month although he added that there could be a deal to at least resume talks. The VIX volatility index ($VIX) on Monday closed up +0.07 to 15.35% as it rebounded from Friday's 3-week low of 15.21%. The VIX remains far below the 1-month high from June 3 of 19.75% and the early-May 5-1/4 month high of 23.38%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
E-Mini S&P 500 Index
Contract Size
$50 times Index
Tick Size
0.25 points ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 3:15p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$6,930/6,300
First Notice Date
12/21/18
Expiration Date
12/21/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

S&P 500 E-Mini Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 11, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,983,867 (+37,085)
2,006,438 (+30,214)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
423,078 (-18,655)
368,157 (+16,341)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
226,972 (+8,347)
579,688 (-3,016)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,422,136 (+72,427)
634,425 (-15,201)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
225,209 (-84,279)
415,710 (+37,673)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
102,371 (-6,119)
314,515 (-955)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,441.00 +0.73%
on 12/20/18
2,814.00 -12.62%
on 12/03/18
-190.10 (-7.18%)
since 11/21/18
3-Month
2,441.00 +0.73%
on 12/20/18
2,944.75 -16.50%
on 10/03/18
-474.85 (-16.19%)
since 09/21/18
52-Week
2,441.00 +0.73%
on 12/20/18
2,947.00 -16.56%
on 09/21/18
-236.10 (-8.76%)
since 12/21/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is in the Top 1%. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,502.03
1st Resistance Point 2,480.47
Last Price 2,458.90s
1st Support Level 2,448.12
2nd Support Level 2,437.33

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52-Week High 2,947.00
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,753.71
Fibonacci 50% 2,694.00
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,634.29
Last Price 2,458.90s
52-Week Low 2,441.00

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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