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Crude Oil WTI Nov '18 (CLX18)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Slightly Higher Ahead of Weekly EIA Inventory Data

Jun WTI crude oil (CLM19) this morning is up by +0.05 (+0.08%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) is up by +0.09 (+0.12%). Jun RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is down by -0.0190 (-0.91%). The energy complex is mixed this morning as crude prices gained on comments from Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih who said he sees "no immediate action" in response to tighter U.S. sanctions on Iran. Gains were limited and gasoline prices fell on a stronger dollar and a decline in the crack spread to a 2-week low, which discourages refiners from boosting their crude purchases to refine the crude into gasoline. Also, Tuesday afternoon's weekly API data was negative for crude prices since it showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose +6.86 million bbl last week, far above the consensus for today's weekly EIA data of +500,000 bbl. Jun WTI crude and Jun Brent crude rallied to fresh 5-3/4 month highs Tuesday on carry-over support from Monday when the Trump administration announced that the U.S. will not renew waivers that let countries buy Iranian oil without facing U.S. sanctions. The current set of waivers that were issued to China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Turkey expire on May 2 and the U.S. wants to completely shut down Iranian crude exports. Ramped up geopolitical concerns also support higher crude prices after Iran on Monday threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20% of the world's crude exports, if they are unable to export crude. Last Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of Apr 12 were -0.1% below the 5-year average, gasoline supplies were -1.0% below the 5-year average, and distillate stockpiles were -5.8% below the 5-year average. U.S. crude production in the week ended Apr 12 was down -0.8% w/w at 12.1 million bpd, just below the recent record high of 12.2 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,740/3,400
First Notice Date
10/24/18
Expiration Date
10/22/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
732,726 (+20,686)
1,262,716 (+15,194)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
616,110 (-5,656)
100,852 (-4,252)
Producers - Long / Short
450,464 (+6,228)
516,293 (-2,438)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
156,742 (+3,491)
620,903 (+6,665)
Managed Money - Long / Short
345,258 (+1,029)
25,210 (+1,039)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
270,852 (-6,685)
75,642 (-5,291)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
68.27 +1.32%
on 10/22/18
76.90 -10.05%
on 10/03/18
-1.61 (-2.27%)
since 09/21/18
3-Month
63.69 +8.60%
on 08/16/18
76.90 -10.05%
on 10/03/18
+2.99 (+4.52%)
since 07/20/18
52-Week
51.27 +34.91%
on 10/24/17
76.90 -10.05%
on 10/03/18
+17.53 (+33.95%)
since 10/20/17

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Jun WTI crude oil (CLM19) on Tuesday closed up by +0.75 (+1.14%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) closed up by +0.47 (+0.63%). Jun RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed up by +0.0055 (+0.26%). The energy complex...

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May Nymex natural gas (NGK19) on Tuesday closed down by -0.069 (-2.73%). May nat-gas prices tumbled to a fresh 2-3/4 year nearest-futures low Tuesday on increased U.S. nat-gas output and expectations...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 70.41
1st Resistance Point 69.79
Last Price 69.17s
1st Support Level 68.41
2nd Support Level 67.65

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52-Week High 76.90
Last Price 69.17s
Fibonacci 61.8% 67.11
Fibonacci 50% 64.08
Fibonacci 38.2% 61.06
52-Week Low 51.27

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InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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