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10-Year T-Note Mar '25 (ZNH25)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Finish Slightly Lower as Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Friday closed down -0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -0.07%.  March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) fell -0.06%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) fell -0.08%.

Stock indexes gave up an early advance on Friday and settled slightly lower as bond yields rose.  The 10-year T-note yield rose +6 bp to a 4.5-month high of 4.23% on Friday after President Trump expressed reluctance to nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair.  Hassett was seen by markets as the most dovish candidate and the top contender for the Fed Chair nomination, so nominating someone like Kevin Warsh, a known hawk and the second-most-likely Fed Chair candidate, dampened speculation about future Fed rate cuts, pushed bond yields higher, and weighed on stocks. 

Stocks initially moved higher on Friday, led by strength in chipmakers.   Confidence that spending on artificial intelligence will c... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,062/1,875
First Notice Date
02/28/25
Expiration Date
03/20/25 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Mar '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 13, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
4,383,326 (+70,558)
3,597,676 (+95,639)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
713,272 (+72,528)
1,583,777 (+27,481)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
433,567 (+15,069)
585,959 (+41,634)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
3,130,555 (+1,342)
949,860 (+40,330)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
479,823 (+48,418)
2,750,684 (-16,460)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
309,112 (+14,930)
151,409 (-5,711)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
109-035 +1.88%
on 02/21/25
111-310 -0.73%
on 03/04/25
+1-315 (+1.82%)
since 02/20/25
3-Month
107-060 +3.70%
on 01/13/25
111-310 -0.73%
on 03/04/25
+2-060 (+2.01%)
since 12/20/24

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Stocks Finish Slightly Lower as Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down -0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.07%. March E-mini...

AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
NRG : 152.05 (-4.07%)
TAP : 48.95 (-3.34%)
AVGO : 351.71 (+2.53%)
PNC : 223.18 (+3.79%)
BF.B : 26.40 (-3.72%)
KHC : 23.53 (-2.93%)
QXO : 23.81 (-4.84%)
RKLB : 96.30 (+6.10%)
TXN : 191.58 (+1.30%)
$IUXX : 25,529.26 (-0.07%)
ASML : 1,358.57 (+2.03%)
SoFi CEO Anthony Noto Says His Company Is Poised to Win if Trump Caps Credit Card Rates: Why Personal Loans Could Come Out on Top

President Trump has renewed calls to temporarily cap credit card interest rates at 10%, prompting waves of criticism on Wall Street. But SoFi CEO Anthony Noto is firmly in the president’s corner for...

SOFI : 26.13 (-1.17%)
Stocks Turn Mixed as Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.07%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.10%. March E-mini S&P futures...

AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
TAP : 48.95 (-3.34%)
AVGO : 351.71 (+2.53%)
PNC : 223.18 (+3.79%)
ADI : 300.25 (-0.61%)
BF.B : 26.40 (-3.72%)
KHC : 23.53 (-2.93%)
QXO : 23.81 (-4.84%)
RKLB : 96.30 (+6.10%)
$IUXX : 25,529.26 (-0.07%)
ASML : 1,358.57 (+2.03%)
ZNH26 : 111-240s (-0.42%)
Billionaire Bill Ackman Says the Best Way to Lower Credit Card Rates Is to ‘Make It More Competitive,’ Not a 10% Cap: ‘This Is a Mistake’

President Donald Trump has joined calls to implement a 10% cap on credit card interest rates. But according to Wall Street veteran Bill Ackman, limiting interest rates would only backfire and make credit...

Stocks Climb on Renewed Optimism for AI Spending

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.27%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.46%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
TAP : 48.95 (-3.34%)
AVGO : 351.71 (+2.53%)
PNC : 223.18 (+3.79%)
ADI : 300.25 (-0.61%)
KHC : 23.53 (-2.93%)
HPQ : 20.37 (-1.16%)
RKLB : 96.30 (+6.10%)
QXO : 23.81 (-4.84%)
$IUXX : 25,529.26 (-0.07%)
ASML : 1,358.57 (+2.03%)
ZNH26 : 111-240s (-0.42%)
Nasdaq Futures Climb on AI Optimism

March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH26) are trending up +0.59% this morning, signaling that a tech rally fueled by strong earnings from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which revived optimism around...

KLAC : 1,567.82 (+1.48%)
BLK : 1,163.17 (+0.56%)
AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
SNDK : 413.62 (+1.07%)
PNC : 223.18 (+3.79%)
KCO.D.DX : 11.010 (+27.36%)
HON : 219.39 (+2.03%)
JBHT : 204.38 (-1.04%)
MU : 362.75 (+7.76%)
HPQ : 20.37 (-1.16%)
COIN : 241.15 (+0.78%)
TSM : 342.40 (+0.22%)
What Was "In" Market Discussions Friday Morning?

Much of Friday morning, the discussion of global financial markets had to do with words starting with "In": Independence, Interest (rates), Increasing, etc.

$DXY : 99.39 (+0.07%)
ZCH26 : 424-6s (+1.07%)
ZWH26 : 518-0s (+1.47%)
ZSH26 : 1057-6s (+0.45%)
ZQF26 : 96.3600s (unch)
Stocks Boosted by Chip Demand Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.60%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.32%. March E-mini...

MSTR : 173.71 (+1.64%)
BLK : 1,163.17 (+0.56%)
AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
MPC : 175.63 (-1.10%)
SNDK : 413.62 (+1.07%)
ADI : 300.25 (-0.61%)
MLTX : 16.76 (+2.51%)
$IUXX : 25,529.26 (-0.07%)
COIN : 241.15 (+0.78%)
ASML : 1,358.57 (+2.03%)
ZNH26 : 111-240s (-0.42%)
OXY : 42.70 (-1.09%)
Stocks Supported by Strength in Chip Makers and US Economic News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.75%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.07%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

BLK : 1,163.17 (+0.56%)
MSTR : 173.71 (+1.64%)
AMAT : 327.01 (+2.49%)
MPC : 175.63 (-1.10%)
SNDK : 413.62 (+1.07%)
ADI : 300.25 (-0.61%)
MLTX : 16.76 (+2.51%)
$IUXX : 25,529.26 (-0.07%)
ASML : 1,358.57 (+2.03%)
ZNH26 : 111-240s (-0.42%)
OXY : 42.70 (-1.09%)
ESH26 : 6,976.75s (-0.07%)
Is ‘Sell Canada’ the New Trade of the Day?

March Canada dollar futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

D6H26 : 0.72030s (-0.19%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 111-215
2nd Resistance Point 111-185
1st Resistance Point 111-115
Last Price 111-050s
1st Support Level 111-015
2nd Support Level 110-305
3rd Support Level 110-235

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52-Week High 116-020
Fibonacci 61.8% 112-215
Fibonacci 50% 111-200
Last Price 111-050s
Fibonacci 38.2% 110-185
52-Week Low 107-060

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