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Ultra T-Bond Mar '21 (UDH21)

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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

10-Year T-Notes Close at a 1-Year Low on a Better-Than-Expected U.S. Payroll Report

Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM21) on Friday closed down -1.5 ticks, and the 10-year T-note yield fell -0.8 bp at 1.556%.

June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM21) on Friday dropped to a contract low, and the nearest-futures March contract tumbled to a 1-year low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed to a new 1-year high of 1.624%. A stronger-than-expected U.S. Feb payroll report on Friday undercut T-note prices. T-notes were already on the defensive from Thursday when Fed Chair Powell did not express concern over the recent jump in T-note yields to 1-year highs and said that only "disorderly" market conditions would concern him.

Friday's monthly U.S. Feb unemployment report was bearish for T-note prices. U.S. Feb nonfarm payrolls rose +379,000, stronger than expectations of +200,000 and the biggest increase in 4 months. Also, The Feb unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to an 11-month low of 6.2%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of unchanged at 6.... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra Treasury Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$8,690/7,900
First Notice Date
02/26/21
Expiration Date
03/22/21 (15 days)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Mar '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 2, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
926,471 (+13,488)
653,793 (-30,673)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
65,849 (-24,307)
321,309 (+16,117)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
30,569 (-2,501)
113,394 (+2,155)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
650,836 (+52,984)
281,768 (+32,330)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
55,532 (-12,677)
361,812 (-15,737)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
60,392 (-4,996)
23,137 (+10,325)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
183-29 +1.87%
on 02/25/21
203-02 -7.74%
on 02/11/21
-14-00 (-6.95%)
since 02/08/21
3-Month
183-29 +1.87%
on 02/25/21
215-08 -12.96%
on 12/11/20
-25-13 (-11.94%)
since 12/08/20

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 192-00
2nd Resistance Point 190-10
1st Resistance Point 189-07
Last Price 187-11
1st Support Level 186-14
2nd Support Level 184-24
3rd Support Level 183-21

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52-Week High 232-05
Fibonacci 61.8% 213-23
Fibonacci 50% 208-01
Fibonacci 38.2% 202-11
Last Price 187-11
52-Week Low 183-29

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Barchart Futures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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