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White Sugar #5 Oct '19 (SWV19)

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White Sugar #5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Climb on Short-Covering Due to Reduced Thailand Sugar Output

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN19) this morning is up +0.30 (+2.39%) and Aug ICE London white sugar #5 (SWQ19) is up by +4.90 (+1.47%). Sugar is seeing support today after the USDA's FAS projected that Thailand 2019/20 sugar output, the world's fourth-largest, will fall by -2% y/y to 13.9 MMT. Strength in the Brazilian real against the dollar today has also lifted sugar futures due to the implication of reduced export selling by Brazilian sugar producers. On the bearish side, the European Commission on Wednesday said that it sees EU 2019/20 sugar output climbing 4% y/y to 18.3 MMT. Fund selling has weighed on sugar prices after last Friday afternoon's COT data showed that funds boosted their short ICE sugar positions by +1,215 net-short positions to 13,217 contracts, the highest net-short position since the data began in October 2011. Unica last Tuesday reported that 2018/19 Brazil Center-South sugar production was down -26.5% y/y at 26.5 MMT during Oct 1-Mar 31, with the percentage of cane crushed for sugar down to 35.2% from 45.5% last year and the percentage of cane crushed for ethanol production up to 64.8% from 53.5% last year. Also, researcher Marex Spectron last Wednesday forecasted that India 2019/20 sugar production will drop -9.2% y/y to 29.8 MMT on dry weather.
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