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Crude Oil Brent F Jun '19 (QAM19)

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Crude Oil Brent (F) Futures Market News and Commentary

Energy Complex Recovers as the Dollar Weakens

July WTI crude oil (CLN19) this morning is up by +0.37 (+0.64%) and July Brent crude oil (CBN19) is up by +0.42 (+0.62%). July RBOB gasoline (RBN19) is up by +0.0067 (+0.35%). The energy complex is recovering somewhat this morning from Thursday's plunge due to today's decline in the dollar index to a 1-week low. Still, energy prices fell back from their best levels on today's weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data that is negative for energy demand. The Apr durable goods orders report of -2.1% and unchanged ex-transportation was slightly weaker than expectations of -2.0% and +0.1% ex transportation. Jul WTI crude on Thursday dropped to a 2-1/4 month low and July Brent crude and Jul RBOB gasoline fell to 1-3/4 month lows on demand concerns caused by the worsening of the US/Chinese trade conflict, which is likely to undercut energy demand by the world's two largest oil consumers. Also, Wednesday's weekly EIA report was negative as it showed U.S. crude inventories jumped +4.75 million bbl in the week of May 17 to a 1-3/4 year high of 476.775 million bbl and U.S. crude production rose +0.8% in the week of May 17 to 12.2 million bpd, just below the April 26 record high of 12.3 million bpd. Crude prices on Monday rallied to a 3-week high on the outlook for OPEC+ to extend its crude production cuts past June after Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih urged OPEC+ members at a meeting in Jeddah over the weekend to "stay the course" on crude oil output cuts. Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of May 17 were +4.9% above the 5-year average, gasoline inventories were -0.5% below the 5-year average, and distillate inventories were -3.7% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Brent Crude Oil Financial Futures
Contract Size
1,000 barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,180/3,800
First Notice Date
05/20/19
Expiration Date
04/30/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil Brent F Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior F Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
68.69 +5.97%
on 04/02/19
75.59 -3.70%
on 04/25/19
+3.78 (+5.48%)
since 04/01/19
3-Month
60.81 +19.70%
on 02/07/19
75.59 -3.70%
on 04/25/19
+9.94 (+15.82%)
since 02/01/19
52-Week
51.51 +41.31%
on 12/26/18
84.29 -13.64%
on 10/03/18
+4.68 (+6.87%)
since 05/01/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 74.05
1st Resistance Point 73.42
Last Price 72.79
1st Support Level 71.95
2nd Support Level 71.11

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52-Week High 84.29
Last Price 72.79
Fibonacci 61.8% 71.77
Fibonacci 50% 67.90
Fibonacci 38.2% 64.03
52-Week Low 51.51

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