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Natural Gas Mar '26 (NGH26)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Fade As Forecasts Turn a Bit Cooler

August Nymex natural gas (NGQ26) on Friday closed down -0.045 (-1.54%), falling back towards last week’s 2.25-month nearest-futures low.

Nat-gas prices fell back as US natural gas inventories remain well above the 5-year average and weather forecasts shifted a bit cooler.  Commodity Weather Group is still forecasting above-average temperatures in the interior West through August 7, but lower temperatures than previously thought.

A bearish factor for nat-gas prices in the medium term is speculation that a powerful El Niño weather system will bring warmer-than-normal temperatures to the Northern Hemisphere this fall and winter, reducing nat-gas heating demand. 

US (lower-48) dry gas production on Friday was 111.6 bcf/day (+2.9% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand on Friday was 77.6 bcf/day (-6.5% y/y), according to BNEF.  Estimated LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals on Friday were 18.2 bcf/day (+3.7% w/w), according to BNEF.

Projections fo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,196/2,906
First Notice Date
02/26/26
Expiration Date
02/25/26 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Mar '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 21, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
545,825 (+9,513)
386,723 (+15,939)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
295,206 (+7,951)
466,344 (+477)
Producers - Long / Short
222,111 (+8,764)
255,218 (+13,739)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
210,606 (-1,131)
18,397 (+320)
Managed Money - Long / Short
233,978 (+6,809)
336,734 (+3,856)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
61,228 (+1,142)
129,610 (-3,379)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.895 +2.56%
on 02/25/26
4.425 -32.90%
on 01/30/26
-0.640 (-17.73%)
since 01/23/26
3-Month
2.578 +15.17%
on 01/09/26
4.425 -32.90%
on 01/30/26
-0.692 (-18.90%)
since 11/25/25
52-Week
2.578 +15.17%
on 01/09/26
4.811 -38.29%
on 03/10/25
-1.238 (-29.43%)
since 02/25/25

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3.148
2nd Resistance Point 3.082
1st Resistance Point 3.026
Last Price 2.969s
1st Support Level 2.904
2nd Support Level 2.838
3rd Support Level 2.782

See More

52-Week High 4.811
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.958
Fibonacci 50% 3.694
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.431
Last Price 2.969s
52-Week Low 2.578

See More

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