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Live Cattle Dec '18 (LEZ18)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Close Lower, USDA Shows Lighter Than Expected Placements

Live cattle futures were 20 to 40 cents lower in most contracts on Friday, with June up 37.5 cents. Feeder cattle futures were steady to 57.5 cents lower, as August was up 20 cents. After the close, the Cattle on Feed report showed April placements up 8.67% from year ago at 1.842 million head, below most estimates. Marketings were up 6.93% from last year at 1.928 million head. The May 1 on feed inventory was pegged at 11.818 million head, up 2.25% and lighter than expectations. The CME feeder cattle index was up $3.11 to $136.81 on May 23. Wholesale boxed beef prices were higher on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 85 cents at $221.64 with Select boxes $1.94 higher @ $208.47. USDA has this week’s FI cattle slaughter at 641,000 head through Saturday. Cash trade this week was seen at $115 in the South and $115-116 in the North. The large managed money spec funds continue to liquidate their long position, with the Commitment of Traders report showing their net short position at 72,705 contracts on Tuesday. Jun 19 Cattle closed at $111.175, up $0.375, Aug 19 Cattle closed at $107.950, down $0.200, Oct 19 Cattle closed at $107.775, down $0.275, Aug 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $143.225, up $0.200 Sep 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $143.875, down $0.125 Oct 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $144.225, down $0.525 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
12/10/18
Expiration Date
12/31/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 21, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
127,322 (+2,596)
215,177 (-7,625)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
136,361 (-6,704)
31,869 (+3,453)
Producers - Long / Short
32,318 (+5,423)
206,246 (-7,197)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
93,093 (-2,715)
7,020 (-316)
Managed Money - Long / Short
91,576 (-10,400)
19,662 (+4,725)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
44,785 (+3,696)
12,207 (-1,272)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
116.750 +6.90%
on 12/04/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+7.875 (+6.74%)
since 11/30/18
3-Month
113.550 +9.91%
on 11/13/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+5.950 (+5.01%)
since 09/28/18
52-Week
106.950 +16.69%
on 04/04/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+10.925 (+9.59%)
since 12/29/17

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Feeder Cattle Charts Showing Planetary Angle Lines, Time Cycles & Price Targets

Below is a daily August feeder cattle chart showing planetary angle lines. I used a price per degree of .0818. Saturn is support at 141.15. Neptune crosses at 146.10 and is resistance. Uranus crosses at...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is in the Top 1%. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 126.033
1st Resistance Point 125.417
Last Price 124.800s
1st Support Level 124.342
2nd Support Level 123.883

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52-Week High 125.575
Last Price 124.800s
Fibonacci 61.8% 118.460
Fibonacci 50% 116.262
Fibonacci 38.2% 114.065
52-Week Low 106.950

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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