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Live Cattle Dec '18 (LEZ18)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Down on COF But Cutouts Higher

Live cattle futures were down 80 cents to $1.10 on Monday, with front month April down a tick. This was fallout from the Cattle on Feed report. Feeder cattle futures were 72.5 cents to $1.425 lower on Monday. The CME feeder cattle index was down 14 cents to $145.97 on April 19. Wholesale boxed beef prices ignored the COF with its 2% more cattle on feed and were higher on Monday. Choice boxes were up 83 cents at $234.48, with Select boxes $2.15 higher @ $222.64. USDA estimated Monday’s FI cattle slaughter at 114,000 head. The monthly Cold Storage report from NASS on Monday showed frozen beef stocks as of March 31 at 450.657 million pounds. That is down 4.92% from February and a 2.87% lower than last year. ---provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
12/10/18
Expiration Date
12/31/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
134,943 (-3,613)
262,961 (-1,200)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
202,072 (+6,991)
38,362 (+2,011)
Producers - Long / Short
30,379 (-4,199)
254,345 (-1,695)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
104,237 (+539)
8,289 (+448)
Managed Money - Long / Short
167,045 (+5,131)
14,452 (+1,129)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
35,027 (+1,860)
23,910 (+882)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
116.750 +6.90%
on 12/04/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+7.875 (+6.74%)
since 11/30/18
3-Month
113.550 +9.91%
on 11/13/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+5.950 (+5.01%)
since 09/28/18
52-Week
106.950 +16.69%
on 04/04/18
125.575 -0.62%
on 12/31/18
+10.925 (+9.59%)
since 12/29/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is in the Top 1%. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 126.033
1st Resistance Point 125.417
Last Price 124.800s
1st Support Level 124.342
2nd Support Level 123.883

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52-Week High 125.575
Last Price 124.800s
Fibonacci 61.8% 118.460
Fibonacci 50% 116.262
Fibonacci 38.2% 114.065
52-Week Low 106.950

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InsideFutures Commentary

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