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Live Cattle Jun '18 (LEM18)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Higher as Japan Eases Restrictions

Live cattle futures posted 80 cent to $180 gains in most contracts on Friday. A USDA announcement shows that Japan has agreed to lift the 30-month age restriction on beef imports from the US that was implemented originally as a 20-month following the BSE outbreak in 2003. Feeder cattle futures were 30 cents higher in nearby May, with other contracts $2 to $2.625 higher. The CME feeder cattle index was down 30 cents to $132.76 on May 16. Wholesale boxed beef prices were higher on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 75 cents at $220.31 with Select boxes 40 cents higher @ $208.28. USDA estimated weekly FI cattle slaughter at 660,000 head through Saturday. That was down 11,000 head from the previous week and 8,000 below the same week last year. Cash sales have been reported at ~$117 this week, with a few down to $115 reported by USDA. Money managers in live cattle futures and options were shown to liquidate 17,405 contracts from their CFTC net long position on Tuesday at 87,296 contracts. Jun 19 Cattle closed at $111.275, up $0.800, Aug 19 Cattle closed at $108.925, up $0.975, Oct 19 Cattle closed at $108.900, up $1.000, May 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $134.525, up $0.300 Aug 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $145.500, up $2.175 Sep 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $146.700, up $2.475 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
06/04/18
Expiration Date
06/29/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
124,726 (-1,348)
222,802 (-9,416)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
143,065 (-10,307)
28,416 (+1,691)
Producers - Long / Short
26,895 (+2,805)
213,443 (-8,084)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
95,808 (-3,432)
7,336 (-611)
Managed Money - Long / Short
101,976 (-13,080)
14,937 (+5,711)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
41,089 (+2,773)
13,479 (-4,020)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.850 +4.04%
on 05/30/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+3.875 (+3.76%)
since 05/29/18
3-Month
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+4.425 (+4.31%)
since 03/29/18
52-Week
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
121.525 -11.95%
on 11/07/17
-0.400 (-0.37%)
since 06/29/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 110.867
1st Resistance Point 108.933
Last Price 107.000s
1st Support Level 106.033
2nd Support Level 105.067

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52-Week High 121.525
Fibonacci 61.8% 112.185
Fibonacci 50% 109.300
Last Price 107.000s
Fibonacci 38.2% 106.415
52-Week Low 97.075

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