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Live Cattle Jun '18 (LEM18)

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cmdty Insider - Live Cattle Market Commentary

Thu Oct 18, 5:10PM CDT
Live cattle futures were mostly steady to 30 cents lower on Thursday, with front month Oct up 15 cents. Feeder cattle futures ended the day with triple digit gains in the nearby contracts. Oct needs to stay close to cash with expiration a week from today. The CME feeder cattle index was up 36 cents on October 17 at $155.50. Wholesale boxed beef prices were higher on Thursday afternoon. Choice boxes were up $2.26 @ $206.82, with Select $1.16 higher at $192.35. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter through Thursday is 467,000 head. That is 1,000 below the previous week and 1,000 head larger than last year. A few $111 trades in Nebraska were reported on Thursday, with most other feedlots passing at that same price. Weekly beef export sales totaled 13,080 MT for the week ending 10/11. Exports totaled 16,012 MT in that week.Oct 18 Cattle closed at $113.075, up $0.150,Dec 18 Cattle closed at $117.175, down $0.200,Feb 19 Cattle closed at $121.375, down $0.100,Oct 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $155.250, up $1.175Nov 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $154.425, up $1.075Jan 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $149.425, up $0.350--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
06/04/18
Expiration Date
06/29/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
126,969 (+635)
196,505 (+785)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
121,957 (-1,218)
35,335 (-971)
Producers - Long / Short
35,905 (+6)
187,995 (+1,449)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
88,068 (+850)
5,514 (-443)
Managed Money - Long / Short
98,440 (-214)
19,988 (+2,428)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,517 (-1,004)
15,347 (-3,399)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.850 +4.04%
on 05/30/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+3.875 (+3.76%)
since 05/29/18
3-Month
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+4.425 (+4.31%)
since 03/29/18
52-Week
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
121.525 -11.95%
on 11/07/17
-0.400 (-0.37%)
since 06/29/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 110.867
1st Resistance Point 108.933
Last Price 107.000s
1st Support Level 106.033
2nd Support Level 105.067

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52-Week High 121.525
Fibonacci 61.8% 112.185
Fibonacci 50% 109.300
Last Price 107.000s
Fibonacci 38.2% 106.415
52-Week Low 97.075

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