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Live Cattle Feb '19 (LEG19)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Futures Higher on $2-3 Pop in Cash

Live cattle futures saw a $1.60 pop in nearby April futures, thanks to higher cash cattle trade. The rest of the contracts were 15 lower to 30 higher ahead of the monthly USDA Cattle on Feed report. Feeder cattle futures settled 25 to 95 cents higher. The CME feeder cattle index was up $1.40 to $144.98 on April 17. Wholesale boxed beef prices were mixed. Choice boxes were up 30 cents at $233.06, with Select boxes $.70 lower at $219.46. USDA estimated week to date FI cattle slaughter at 485,000 head through Thursday. That would be 14,000 larger than last week and also 14,000 head above the same week a year ago. Cash cattle trade was $2 or more above week ago @ $126 in the south and $130-132 in the north. USDA weekly beef export sales were much improved at 28,800 MT, mostly to South Korea and Japan. The monthly USDA Cattle on Feed report showed the largest April 1 On Feed since the reporting series began in 1996. Numbers were up 2% from 2018, with March placements 4.8% larger than the same month a year ago. Apr 19 Cattle closed at $128.525, up $1.600, Jun 19 Cattle closed at $122.675, up $0.300, Aug 19 Cattle closed at $119.750, up $0.200, Apr 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $145.700, up $0.375 May 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $151.525, up $0.925 Aug 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $160.675, up $0.225 ---provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
02/04/19
Expiration Date
02/28/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Feb '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
134,943 (-3,613)
262,961 (-1,200)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
202,072 (+6,991)
38,362 (+2,011)
Producers - Long / Short
30,379 (-4,199)
254,345 (-1,695)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
104,237 (+539)
8,289 (+448)
Managed Money - Long / Short
167,045 (+5,131)
14,452 (+1,129)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
35,027 (+1,860)
23,910 (+882)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
124.725 +4.19%
on 01/31/19
129.950 unch
on 02/28/19
+3.550 (+2.81%)
since 01/28/19
3-Month
118.575 +9.59%
on 11/29/18
129.950 unch
on 02/28/19
+9.400 (+7.80%)
since 11/28/18
52-Week
109.100 +19.11%
on 04/04/18
129.950 unch
on 02/28/19
+11.675 (+9.87%)
since 02/28/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 130.950
1st Resistance Point 130.450
Last Price 129.950s
1st Support Level 128.950
2nd Support Level 127.950

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52-Week High 129.950
Last Price 129.950s
Fibonacci 61.8% 121.985
Fibonacci 50% 119.525
Fibonacci 38.2% 117.065
52-Week Low 109.100

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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