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Hard Red Wheat May '18 (KEK18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary

Tue Oct 16, 7:26AM CDT
Wheat futures are trading 1 to 2 cents lower this morning. They ended Monday with most contracts 4 1/2 to 7 3/4 cents higher. The USDA weekly Export Inspections report showed 450,980 MT shipped in the week ending Oct 11. That was slightly higher than the previous week and 38.48% better than this time last year. NASS reported that 65% of the winter wheat crop was planted as of the 14th, lagging the average pace by 2% as rains in the Plains slows progress. Emergence was 3% faster than normal at 44%. Russia’s IKAR added 0.7 MMT to their country’s wheat production estimate, now at 70.5 MMT. That is less than a week after USDA trimmed their projection to 70 MMT.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
04/30/18
Expiration Date
05/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Hard Red Wheat May '18
Average price change for the 5 prior May contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,466 (-2,587)
149,409 (-3,770)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
94,927 (-1,181)
54,693 (+1,056)
Producers - Long / Short
58,653 (-1,924)
134,342 (-480)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,688 (+906)
7,942 (-1,721)
Managed Money - Long / Short
64,770 (-1,374)
44,498 (+1,205)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,157 (+193)
10,195 (-149)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
476-0 +4.36%
on 04/17/18
547-4 -9.27%
on 05/03/18
+1-0 (+0.20%)
since 04/13/18
3-Month
456-0 +8.94%
on 03/29/18
548-4 -9.43%
on 03/02/18
+12-2 (+2.53%)
since 02/14/18
52-Week
423-6 +17.23%
on 12/13/17
619-4 -19.81%
on 07/05/17
-7-2 (-1.44%)
since 05/12/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Opinion rating is a Hold. Short term, the outlook is Steady.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 496-6
1st Resistance Point 496-6
Last Price 496-6s
1st Support Level 496-6
2nd Support Level 496-6

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52-Week High 619-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 544-6
Fibonacci 50% 521-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 498-4
Last Price 496-6s
52-Week Low 423-6

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