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Lean Hogs Apr '21 (HEJ21)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Fall Triple Digits at Months End

Lean hog futures were weaker in the afternoon, and closed near the lows on the day. The triple digit losses for April through June limited the front months’ weekly gain to 2.3%. April hogs closed at $87.15 after beginning the month at $76.90. The CME Lean Hog Index was $79.95 on the 24th up from $79.12. USDA’s National Average Afternoon Base Hog price was $0.58 higher to $78.52. CFTC’s weekly data release showed lean hog spec traders were 72,780 contracts net long as of 2/23. That was up 5,593 contracts on the week via new buying and short covering.

Pork cutout futures also fell back triple digits on the day, with April down $1.92 to $93.17. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value was $1.29 weaker in the PM report to $93.84 cwt. Picnic cuts were $5.92 lower and bellies were down $5. USDA’s estimate for the week’s FI hog slaughter through Saturday is 2.642 million head. That is up from 2.561m head LY, but YTD slaughter still trails last year’s pace by 3.8%.

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Contract Specifications

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Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
04/15/21 (46 days)
Expiration Date
04/15/21 (46 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Apr '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 23, 2021

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Commercials - Long / Short
78,259 (-96)
137,757 (+4,928)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
105,123 (+3,159)
34,243 (-2,565)
Producers - Long / Short
12,047 (-140)
126,745 (+5,021)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
61,547 (+95)
6,347 (-42)
Managed Money - Long / Short
80,504 (+2,658)
9,376 (-2,863)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,619 (+501)
24,867 (+298)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
75.375 +15.62%
on 02/02/21
90.675 -3.89%
on 02/25/21
+10.200 (+13.26%)
since 01/26/21
67.275 +29.54%
on 12/14/20
90.675 -3.89%
on 02/25/21
+16.400 (+23.18%)
since 11/25/20
58.100 +50.00%
on 04/06/20
90.675 -3.89%
on 02/25/21
+15.650 (+21.89%)
since 02/26/20

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 92.825
2nd Resistance Point 91.550
1st Resistance Point 89.350
Last Price 87.150s
1st Support Level 85.875
2nd Support Level 84.600
3rd Support Level 82.400

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52-Week High 90.675
Last Price 87.150s
Fibonacci 61.8% 78.231
Fibonacci 50% 74.387
Fibonacci 38.2% 70.544
52-Week Low 58.100

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