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Feeder Cattle Nov '17 (GFX17)

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cmdty Insider - Feeder Cattle Market Commentary

Thu Sep 20, 4:54PM CDT
Live cattle futures ended Thursday with most contracts steady to 65 cents in the red. Feeder cattle futures were down 10 to 60 cents, with nearby Sept up 50 cents. The CME feeder cattle index on September 19 was up $1.38 at $154.46. Wholesale boxed beef values were higher on Thursday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 27 cents to $204.52, while Select boxes were 73 cents higher at $194.91. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter at 473,000 head through Thursday. That is down 3,000 from last week but 7,000 head above the same week in 2017. Analysts are expecting (Reuters survey) that the USDA will show September 1 Cattle on Feed at 11.067 million head, up 5.4% from last year. Export sales of 15,894 MT for beef in the week of 9/13 were reported this morning. Weekly exports were shown at 17,336 MT. A few dressed sales of $175 in the North were reported on Thursday.OCT 18 Cattle closed at $112.450, down $0.650,DEC 18 Cattle closed at $117.900, down $0.075,FEB 19 Cattle closed at $121.600, down $0.250,SEP 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $156.025, up $0.500OCT 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $157.725, down $0.150NOV 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $157.600, down $0.125

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
11/15/17
Expiration Date
11/16/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Feeder Cattle Nov '17
Average price change for the 5 prior Nov contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
17,118 (-687)
11,327 (-587)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
15,886 (+1,109)
15,716 (+291)
Producers - Long / Short
4,820 (+192)
9,376 (+54)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
10,347 (-238)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
11,048 (+1,083)
10,993 (+87)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
4,838 (+26)
4,723 (+204)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
150.000 +5.18%
on 10/23/17
161.500 -2.31%
on 11/03/17
+3.225 (+2.09%)
since 10/16/17
3-Month
139.125 +13.41%
on 08/18/17
161.500 -2.31%
on 11/03/17
+14.925 (+10.45%)
since 08/16/17
52-Week
115.675 +36.40%
on 11/17/16
161.500 -2.31%
on 11/03/17
+42.100 (+36.40%)
since 11/17/16

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 158.108
1st Resistance Point 157.942
Last Price 157.775s
1st Support Level 157.592
2nd Support Level 157.408

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52-Week High 161.500
Last Price 157.775s
Fibonacci 61.8% 143.995
Fibonacci 50% 138.587
Fibonacci 38.2% 133.180
52-Week Low 115.675

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