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Feeder Cattle Oct '18 (GFV18)

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cmdty Insider - Feeder Cattle Market Commentary


Live cattle futures were mixed on Friday, with front months higher and deferred contracts lower. Feeder cattle futures were down 15 cents to $1.325, with Jan up 1.89% on the week. The CME feeder cattle index was down $1.10 on November 15 at $147.83. Wholesale boxed beef prices were lower on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were down 64 cents at $212.91, with the Select cutout value a penny lower at $197.57. USDA estimated weekly FI cattle slaughter @ 641,000 head. That is 1,000 above the previous week and even with the same week last year. Cash cattle trade wound up around $114 in most regions on Friday, with a few dressed sales of $178 reported in NE. Trade surveys suggest the Cattle on Feed report (Wednesday) will show 4.4% more cattle on feed than last November, with October placements fractionally below year ago. The large spec funds in live cattle futures and options trimmed 8,707 contracts from their CFTC net long position of 54,421 contracts as of Tuesday. In feeder cattle futures and options, they held the largest recorded net short position on record on 11/13 at -4,823 contracts.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
10/25/18
Expiration Date
10/25/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Feeder Cattle Oct '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
15,103 (+76)
8,927 (-260)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
18,101 (-1,095)
20,965 (-30)
Producers - Long / Short
4,988 (+304)
7,759 (-614)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
9,055 (-474)
108 (+108)
Managed Money - Long / Short
11,722 (-1,857)
16,646 (+436)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,379 (+762)
4,319 (-466)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
153.425 +0.38%
on 10/17/18
159.575 -3.49%
on 10/01/18
-4.290 (-2.71%)
since 09/26/18
3-Month
145.625 +5.76%
on 08/27/18
159.900 -3.68%
on 09/14/18
+1.135 (+0.74%)
since 07/26/18
52-Week
137.250 +12.21%
on 04/04/18
159.900 -3.68%
on 09/14/18
+2.085 (+1.37%)
since 10/26/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 154.010
1st Resistance Point 154.010
Last Price 154.010s
1st Support Level 154.010
2nd Support Level 154.010

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52-Week High 159.900
Last Price 154.010s
Fibonacci 61.8% 151.248
Fibonacci 50% 148.575
Fibonacci 38.2% 145.902
52-Week Low 137.250

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