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Feeder Cattle Apr '18 (GFJ18)

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cmdty Insider - Feeder Cattle Market Commentary

Thu Oct 18, 5:10PM CDT
Live cattle futures were mostly steady to 30 cents lower on Thursday, with front month Oct up 15 cents. Feeder cattle futures ended the day with triple digit gains in the nearby contracts. Oct needs to stay close to cash with expiration a week from today. The CME feeder cattle index was up 36 cents on October 17 at $155.50. Wholesale boxed beef prices were higher on Thursday afternoon. Choice boxes were up $2.26 @ $206.82, with Select $1.16 higher at $192.35. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter through Thursday is 467,000 head. That is 1,000 below the previous week and 1,000 head larger than last year. A few $111 trades in Nebraska were reported on Thursday, with most other feedlots passing at that same price. Weekly beef export sales totaled 13,080 MT for the week ending 10/11. Exports totaled 16,012 MT in that week.Oct 18 Cattle closed at $113.075, up $0.150,Dec 18 Cattle closed at $117.175, down $0.200,Feb 19 Cattle closed at $121.375, down $0.100,Oct 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $155.250, up $1.175Nov 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $154.425, up $1.075Jan 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $149.425, up $0.350--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
04/26/18
Expiration Date
04/26/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Feeder Cattle Apr '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
16,090 (-1,186)
10,975 (-1,118)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
22,954 (+1,271)
19,318 (+684)
Producers - Long / Short
5,201 (+457)
9,724 (+414)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
9,638 (-111)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
18,267 (+1,257)
12,869 (+642)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
4,687 (+14)
6,449 (+42)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
128.575 +8.88%
on 04/04/18
141.300 -0.93%
on 04/16/18
+4.640 (+3.43%)
since 03/27/18
3-Month
128.575 +8.88%
on 04/04/18
153.100 -8.56%
on 02/20/18
-7.235 (-4.91%)
since 01/26/18
52-Week
128.575 +8.88%
on 04/04/18
158.725 -11.80%
on 11/03/17
+2.265 (+1.64%)
since 04/27/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 139.990
1st Resistance Point 139.990
Last Price 139.990s
1st Support Level 139.990
2nd Support Level 139.990

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52-Week High 158.725
Fibonacci 61.8% 147.208
Fibonacci 50% 143.650
Fibonacci 38.2% 140.092
Last Price 139.990s
52-Week Low 128.575

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