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Eurodollar Mar '20 (GEH20)

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Eurodollar Futures Market News and Commentary

10-year T-notes Settle Higher on Trade Uncertainty and Weaker U.S. Core CPI

Dec T-notes (ZNZ19) on Wednesday closed up +11.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell by -6.3 bp to 1.872%.

Dec T-note prices settled higher Wednesday on trade uncertainty, carry-over support from a rally in European government bonds, and a smaller-than-expected increase in the U.S. Oct core CPI.

T-notes rose to their highs Wednesday afternoon when a report from the Wall Street Journal said trade talks have hit a snag on Chinese purchases of U.S. farm products since China is said to be leery of putting a numerical commitment on ag purchases in the text of a trade deal. President Trump has said China agreed to buy up to $50 billion in U.S. farm products.

Wednesday's Oct core CPI eased to +2.3% y/y from Sep's +2.4% y/y and was slightly weaker than market expectations of +2.4% y/y. However, the headline Oct CPI rose slightly to +1.8% from Sep's +1.7% and was slightly stronger than expectations of +1.7%.

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