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Gold Dec '17 (GCZ17)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Are Undercut by Reduced Safe-Haven Demand

Aug Comex gold (GCQ19) on Monday closed down -1.6 (-0.12%) and July silver closed up +0.026 (+0.18%). Metals prices on Monday settled mixed. Aug gold shed early gains Monday and closed lower after stocks rebounded from early losses and moved higher. Also, gold prices were undercut after the dollar recovered from early losses and settled little changed. Gold prices saw some strength early Monday on weak U.S. economic data that was dovish for Fed policy and supportive for precious metals prices. The U.S. Jun Empire manufacturing index plunged by -25.4 points to a 2-1/2 year low of -8.6, weaker than expectations of -6.8 to 11.0. Precious metals also garnered support from Monday's comments from ECB Executive Board member Coeure who said, "the constellation of prices in the bond market paints a picture of the global economy which is very bleak" and the ECB will act if needed to support the economy. Monday's fall in inflation expectations to a new 2-3/4 year low may also prompt the Fed to cut interest rates, which would be bullish for metals prices, after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate slid to a 2-3/4 year low of 1.613%. Ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, along with stock market volatility, have sparked fund buying of precious metals as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 3-3/4 month high on Friday and long silver positions in ETFs rose to a 1-month high on Friday.
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