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Futures Resource Center

Sun, Feb 25th, 2018

Daily Market Commentary

    Economic Research

    What are Ag Options Traders 'Smiling' About?

    Our recent article on options on agricultural products marveled at the relatively low prices of at-the-money (ATM) options, especially in the face of a gathering La Niña, albeit a relatively mild one...

    Anatomy of an Equities Correction

    Equities have bounced back from correction territory but how will the pace of Fed rate hikes, rising budget deficits and inflation impact stocks and bonds. -->

    La Niña: Calm Before the Storm in Ag Markets?

    Corn, soybean and wheat markets are witnessing an odd juxtaposition – the onset of a La Niña and exceptionally low options’ implied volatility (Figures 1 & 2).  Why this is unusual is that corn,...

    Could Equities Jitters Affect Pace of Fed Rate Hikes?

    Is a Fed rate hike in March a certainty? If the correction in equity markets is prolonged, the central bank could decide to postpone any increase until June. -->

    Fed: End of an Era of Economists at the Helm?

    Dr. Janet Yellen’s term as Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Fed) System ends in early 2018.  While she could be reappointed for another four-year term as Chair, reading the tea...

    VIX-Yield Curve: At the Door of High Volatility?

    We freely admit: Figure 1 is probably the strangest chart that you will ever see, at least in finance.  You may be wondering: did they throw blue spaghetti noodle on paper for inspiration and then write...

    Three Least Likely FOMC Meetings to Hike Rates

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve (Fed) did nothing at its January 31 meeting; however, Federal Funds futures are signaling as many as three rate hikes are probable in 2018. ...

    Gold: Showing Strength Despite Rate-Hike Signals

    More than any other factor, changes in expectations for U.S. interest rates play a key role in determining short-term movements in the price of gold, and to a lesser extent silver and platinum. During...

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