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Futures Resource Center

Tue, Feb 19th, 2019

Daily Market Commentary

    Economic Research

    Tug-of-War

    Buyers and sellers are in a tug-of-war in the bond market, where yields have been declining. Are buyers sidestepping the budget deficit and other factors? -->

    Brent-WTI Oil Spread Taking Cue from Houston-Midland?

    The price spread between the venerable WTI and Brent oil contracts has been taking the lead from two minnows - WTI Houston and WTI Midland. -->

    China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War

    China's economy has felt the strain of the U.S. trade war, but its massive debt and demographic trends pose a more critical threat in the 2020s. -->

    Stalemate Raises Risks

    As negotiations to avoid a second government shutdown race to beat the Friday deadline, failure to strike a deal could damage the U.S. brand globally. -->

    Did Fed Pause Rate Hikes in Time?

    The selloff in equities late last year was a wake-up call for the Fed, which seems to have taken heed and changed course. But did the Fed pause in time? -->

    Oil: Are Options Signaling Long-Term Uncertainty?

    Oil prices have bounced off their recent lows but the implied volatility in options is indicating uncertainty in the market's direction over the long term. -->

    Three Big Equity Event Risks

    Equities are facing three major event risks that could result in large price gaps, which are more difficult to manage than shifts in volatility. -->

    Why has Equity Index-Treasury Options Volatility Diverged?

    There has been an unusual divergence in implied volatility between equities and Treasuries. Is it a signal of the markets entering a high volatility regime? -->

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