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Futures Resource Center

Mon, Jun 18th, 2018

Daily Market Commentary

    Economic Research

    Factors Likely to Shape Fed's Interest Rate Path in H2 2018

    The big question on investors' minds now is if the Fed will hike interest rates once or twice in the second-half of 2018. We offer some interesting clues. -->

    Our Model Forecasts May Non-Farm Payroll, and June’s Too

    We have developed a model that not only forecasts the next U.S. payroll data scheduled for release on June 1 but also the report after that on July 6. -->

    Political Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves

    Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and U.S. to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets. -->

    Should U.S. Farmers Fret Over Falling Ag Currencies?

    Currencies of major agriculture-exporting nations such as Argentina, Brazil and Russia are falling against the U.S. dollar. Should American farmers worry? -->

    Euro-Dollar Caught in a Fiscal-Monetary Tug-of-War

    The euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate is in a bind, with monetary and fiscal policies pulling in opposite directions. That could change amid Fed rate hikes. -->

    The Federal Reserve, Inflation and the Flattening Yield Curve

    The Fed is set to raise rates in June but subsequent hikes would depend on core inflation, flattening of the yield curve and resolution of trade disputes. -->

    Oil: Futures to Remain in Backwardation Amid Mideast Tension

    Spot oil prices are expected to remain higher than futures further out along the maturity curve amid the simmering tension in the Middle East over Iran. -->

    U.S. Pullout of Iran Nuclear Deal: What Next for Oil, Business?

    How will the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal impact oil markets, Middle East peace process and global trade? Our research offers some answers. -->

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