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Futures Resource Center

Sun, Oct 21st, 2018

Daily Market Commentary

    Economic Research

    Emerging Market Currencies: Eye on U.S. Rates, Trade War

    Emerging market currencies have slumped against the dollar, led by the Turkish lira and Argentine peso. Further U.S. rates hikes could add to their dilemma. -->

    Brexit: Classic Case of an Approaching Major Event Risk

    Outcome of talks for UK's exit from the European Union under Brexit presents a classic case of event risk that could reach a climax in November. -->

    Bright Spots in Emerging Market Currencies

    Many emerging market currencies have slumped in value against the U.S. dollar, sparking concerns of a 1990s-style contagion. Do they share the same risks? -->

    Growth in Global Trade Impeded as Tit-for-Tat Tariffs Escalate

    The growth in global trade has been impeded by the trade war. Could the escalating tit-for-tat tariffs eventually impact U.S. corporate profits? -->

    Rising Wages--a Sign of Slowing Corporate Profits or Inflation?

    Are rising wages an indicator of escalating inflation or a harbinger of a slowdown in corporate profits, which have roared back after the 2008 crisis? -->

    Divergent Forces Driving Agriculture Markets

    What are the primary forces driving the Big Three of agriculture, namely corn, soybean and wheat markets? -->

    Gold: Waiting for the Next Bull Market

    A strong U.S. dollar and tighter monetary policy have been bearish for gold, but is the yellow metal about to enter bull market territory? -->

    The Next Recession: Three Critical Warning Signs

    Is the U.S. heading toward a recession? We examine three critical warning signs and conclude that the next downturn could be different from the 2008 crisis. -->

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