wheat Indexes by State
cmdty Wheat Index FamilyGet Free Daily Price Report
The cmdty Wheat Index family is a series of volume weighted indexes and price assessments that represent fair value pricing for physical Wheat across the United States. The indexes are calculated on a continuous basis and use a sophisticated – but transparent - weighting process to ensure prices are objective and reflective of underlying market economics.
Calculated at the County, Crop Reporting District, State, Regional, and National level – from prices contributed by over 4,000 grain buying locations – there are over 500 different front-month indexes. With forward curves going out twelve months for each index area there are over 6,000 objective prices for Wheat calculated each day. Historical information is available through to the start of 2014.
Major growing zones are divided among the following regions:
- Eastern – Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin
- Western – Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, N. Dakota, S. Dakota
- Delta – Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Tennessee
The indexes are powered by best-in-class grain prices from the cmdty by Barchart product line. Additional prices, including basis values and forward curve information, are available exclusively to subscribers of cmdtyView® - the leading platform for commodity trading – or other data products available through cmdty.
cmdty Wheat Indexes
cmdty Insider - Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary
Wheat futures are up 4 to 9 cents in the winter wheat contracts, with MPLS fractionally mixed. December options expire today. Export commitments for US wheat is now 7.6% above last year at this time. Nearly halfway through the MY, they are 60% of the USDA projection, even with last year but lagging the 69% average. Actual shipments YTD are 45% of the forecast total (46% avg) and 24% larger yr/yr, with unshipped sales lagging 2018/19 by 25%. French wheat planting is now at 74% complete according to the FranceAgriMer, lagging 97% from this week last year.
DEC 19 CBOT Wheat is at $5.17 1/2, up 8 1/2 cents,
DEC 19 KCBT Wheat is at $4.25 1/4, up 4 1/4 cents,
DEC 19 MGEX Wheat is at $4.96, up 3/4 cent
-- provided by Brugler Marketing & Management
As we all saw, soybean futures opened the week under pressure with the nearby January contract losing 8 cents at Monday’s close. The usual suspects were all cited as reasons “why”, namely some comment by someone regarding trade talks between the United States and China was viewed as bearish. Analysts love to run with this nonsense, so we might as well let them. I’m sure Tuesday’s rally (if it holds) will have these same folks chattering about how trade talk news was more bullish. The bottom line with soybeans is that the fundamental picture isn’t changing, regardless of the trade situation. The carry in the market’s forward curve remains neutral-to-bearish, and basis is neutral at this time with last Friday’s cmdty National Soybean Basis Index (NSBI, weighted national average) calculated at 63 3/4 cents under (January futures). The 5-year average for the close the third week of November came in at 69 1/4 cents under Jan. As stated above, the January contract started the week off with a loss of 8 cents so my interest immediately turned to how the NSBI would come in Monday afternoon. When the calculations were complete the NSBI registered at roughly 63 1/2 cents under, a gain of only 1/4 cent. This seems a bit light for the sell-off seen in futures, hinting at a lack of anxiousness by merchandisers in covering short-term demand. Meanwhile, China’s siege on the U.S. soybean industry is gaining strength as weather in Brazil remains satisfactory for crop progress, a factor that could ultimately start to crack U.S. basis. Darin Newsom President Darin Newsom Analysis Inc.
On the subject of corn basis, it doesn’t matter what part of the country I talk about the story is the same: Merchandisers continue to push basis in an attempt to source supplies to meet short-term demand. I have a farmer friend from South Dakota who told me over the weekend that his local basis market, extending into eastern Minnesota, has climbed to 2 cents under, versus last year at this same time of 57 cents under. I’ve also seen reports of basis in parts of Ohio jumping to 50 cents over or more, a situation that can no longer be viewed as an outlier, at least not this year. All of this adds up to a still strong cmdty National Corn Basis Index (NCBI, weighted national average) as we roll into another week. Last Friday saw the NCBI calculated at 14 1/4 cents under, roughly 3/4 cent stronger than the previous week and holding well above both the 5-year average of 35 1/4 cents under and 5-year high of 22 cents under for the third weekly close of November. The situation is made even more interesting as we continue to track demand, with last week’s export shipment update showing the U.S. on pace to ship 1.233 bb during the 2019-2020 marketing year as compared to the reported 2018-2019 export shipments of 1.937 bb. For those of you keeping track at home, that is a marketing year-to-marketing year decrease of just over 700 mb. Darin Newsom President Darin Newsom Analysis Inc.
How does national average basis react when the futures market breaks 15 cents and the carry in the nearby futures spread continues to strengthen? Well, judging by Monday afternoon’s calculation of the cmdty National Soybean Basis Index (NSBI, weighted national average), basis strengthens by almost a penny. While the strength itself isn’t overly surprising given the uptrend seen on the NSBI’s daily and weekly charts, the question remains as to how long soybean basis can hold on with all else about the market growing more bearish. Based on its 5-year seasonal patterns the NSBI tends to strengthen, slowly, to an average peak of about 64 3/4 cents under with the close of the fourth week of December. This ties into the roll from January futures to March, with basis working back to its next peak of 65 1/4 cents under at the close of the first week of February. The latest 2019-2020 calculation of the NSBI (Monday, November 11) came in at 68 cents under the January futures contract, above the 5-year average of 74 cents under. While this marketing year continues to run slightly stronger than the 5-year average, I still consider the NSBI to be neutral. By the time we get to early February this marketing year, the market could be facing the situation of solid production in Brazil and decreased export demand for U.S. supplies. That seems to be what the solid carry in the futures market’s forward curve is telling us. If so, the NSBI would be expected to see more of a contra-seasonal breakdown. Darin Newsom President Darin Newsom Analysis Inc.