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S&P 500 Index Sep '18 (SPU18)

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S&P 500 Index Futures Market News and Commentary

U.S. Stock Indexes Decline on Fears that Trade War will Undercut Earnings

The S&P 500 ($SPX) on Wednesday closed down -19.62 (-0.65%), the Dow Jones Industrials index ($DOWI) closed down -115.78 (-0.42%), and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) closed down -38.32 (-0.48%). Key U.S. stock indexes moved lower Wednesday on weak housing data and on concern that the trade war will undercut company quarterly earnings. CSX plunged more than -10% Wednesday to a 5-month low and is led transportation stocks lower after the company said "global and U.S economic conditions have impacted our volumes" as it cut its full-year revenue estimate to a decline of 1%-2%, weaker than a previous estimate of growth in the low single digits. The stock market on Wednesday continued to be hurt by pessimism about US/Chinese trade talks after the WSJ reported that the trade talks are stalled as China waits to see if the U.S. will follow through on its promise to allow sales of American chips and other products to Huawei that do not involve national security. Also, Wednesday's U.S. economic data showed June housing starts fell -0.9% to 1.253 million, weaker than expectations of -0.7% to 1.260 million, and that June building permits, a proxy for future construction, unexpectedly fell -6.1% to a 2-year low of 1.220 million, weaker than expectations of +0.1% to 1.300 million. The VIX volatility index ($VIX) on Wednesday rose +1.11 to 13.97%, a 1-week high, rebounding higher from the 1-1/2 week low of 12.24% posted earlier in the day. The VIX remains moderately above the 2-3/4 month low of 12.04% from July 5 and moderately above the 11-month low from mid-April of 11.03%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
S&P 500 Index
Contract Size
$250 times Index
Tick Size
0.10 points ($25.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:30a.m. - 3:15p.m.) (Settles 3:15p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$250
Expiration Date
09/21/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

S&P 500 Index Sep '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,846.50 +3.30%
on 08/22/18
2,940.45 unch
on 09/21/18
+78.75 (+2.75%)
since 08/21/18
3-Month
2,693.60 +9.16%
on 06/28/18
2,940.45 unch
on 09/21/18
+187.95 (+6.83%)
since 06/21/18
52-Week
2,483.10 +18.42%
on 09/25/17
2,940.45 unch
on 09/21/18
+441.25 (+17.66%)
since 09/21/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is in the Top 1%. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,940.45
1st Resistance Point 2,940.45
Last Price 2,940.45s
1st Support Level 2,940.45
2nd Support Level 2,940.45

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52-Week High 2,940.45
Last Price 2,940.45s
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,765.74
Fibonacci 50% 2,711.77
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,657.81
52-Week Low 2,483.10

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