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Natural Gas Jun '19 (NGM19)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Prices Jump on Forecasts for Above-Average Temps in the U.S.

July Nymex natural gas (NGN19) on Monday closed up by +0.117 (+5.35%). Nat-gas prices rallied sharply Monday after forecasts for sweltering heat in the U.S. spurred short-covering in nat-gas futures. Funds hold a large net-short position in nat-gas that could fuel a short-covering rally. Last Friday's CFTC data showed that funds boosted their net-short positions by 32,020 contracts in the week ended June 18 to a 3-year high of 88,038 contracts. The Weather Company on Monday forecast above-average temperatures across the contiguous U.S. during June 29-July 3 with the northern Great Plains and upper Midwest having the hottest weather of the season, which should boost nat-gas demand for air conditioning. Jul nat-gas last Thursday plunged to a new 3-year nearest-futures low on the larger-than-expected build in weekly EIA nat-gas inventories of +115 bcf, higher than expectations of 105 bcf and above the 5-year average of 84 bcf. That marked the 12th consecutive week that U.S. nat gas inventories rose by more than their 5-year average. Strong U.S. nat-gas output remains bearish for nat-gas prices as Monday's data showed that U.S. lower 48-state nat-gas production is up +7.7% y/y at 85.952 bcf. Last Thursday's EIA data showed that U.S. nat-gas supplies stood at a 4-3/4 month high of 2.203 bcf as of June 14, up +9.7% y/y but -8.3% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,540/1,400
First Notice Date
05/30/19
Expiration Date
05/29/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
612,674 (-2,344)
513,062 (-8,948)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
242,813 (+2,818)
380,112 (+13,169)
Producers - Long / Short
277,128 (+549)
276,376 (-9,517)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
194,162 (-952)
95,302 (+2,510)
Managed Money - Long / Short
154,814 (-7,444)
303,453 (+22,968)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
87,999 (+10,262)
76,659 (-9,799)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.514 +4.73%
on 05/07/19
2.700 -2.48%
on 05/20/19
+0.040 (+1.54%)
since 04/29/19
3-Month
2.477 +6.30%
on 04/25/19
2.941 -10.47%
on 03/19/19
-0.230 (-8.03%)
since 02/28/19
52-Week
2.477 +6.30%
on 04/25/19
2.941 -10.47%
on 03/19/19
-0.018 (-0.68%)
since 05/25/18

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Most Recent Stories

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Natural Gas Prices Jump on Forecasts for Above-Average Temps in the U.S.

July Nymex natural gas (NGN19) on Monday closed up by +0.117 (+5.35%). Nat-gas prices rallied sharply Monday after forecasts for sweltering heat in the U.S. spurred short-covering in nat-gas futures....

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Natural Gas Prices Jump on Forecasts for Above-Average Temps in the U.S.

July Nymex natural gas (NGN19) this morning is up by +0.069 (+3.16%). Nat-gas prices are sharply higher this morning after forecasts for sweltering heat in the U.S. spurred short-covering in nat-gas futures....

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.682
1st Resistance Point 2.657
Last Price 2.633s
1st Support Level 2.594
2nd Support Level 2.556

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52-Week High 2.941
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.764
Fibonacci 50% 2.709
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.654
Last Price 2.633s
52-Week Low 2.477

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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