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Hard Red Wheat May '19 (KEK19)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Bulls Still Struggling for Traction

Wheat futures are trading mostly 3 to 4 cents lower in the CHI and KC contracts this morning. They were UNCH to 3 3/4 cents higher in the winter wheat contracts on Wednesday. Spring wheat is trading 1 1/4 lower to 2 1/4 higher. MPLS was also higher by 1/4 to 1 3/4 cents on Wednesday. Census trade data, released on Wednesday morning, showed the largest wheat exports for February since 2012/13 at 2.262 MMT. That was a 61.97% jump from 2018 and 12.95% larger than January. The range of estimates for old crop wheat export sales in the week of April 11 is 200,000-400,000 MT. Analysts also see 150,000-300,000 MT for new crop bookings. --Provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,485/1,350
First Notice Date
04/30/19 (12 days)
Expiration Date
05/14/19 (26 days)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat May '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 9, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
123,428 (-8,218)
109,729 (-3,675)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
82,595 (-783)
112,078 (-3,741)
Producers - Long / Short
76,509 (-5,489)
93,979 (-1,217)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
38,590 (-263)
7,421 (+8)
Managed Money - Long / Short
57,315 (-1,434)
106,312 (-2,991)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,280 (+651)
5,766 (-750)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
414-2 +0.36%
on 04/16/19
454-0 -8.43%
on 03/26/19
-20-6 (-4.75%)
since 03/18/19
3-Month
414-2 +0.36%
on 04/16/19
526-6 -21.07%
on 01/24/19
-99-4 (-19.31%)
since 01/18/19
52-Week
414-2 +0.36%
on 04/16/19
648-6 -35.92%
on 08/07/18
-166-2 (-28.57%)
since 04/18/18

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Wheat futures are trading mostly 3 to 4 cents lower in the CHI and KC contracts this morning. They were UNCH to 3 3/4 cents higher in the winter wheat contracts on Wednesday. Spring wheat is trading 1...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 426-3
1st Resistance Point 423-3
Last Price 415-6
1st Support Level 417-1
2nd Support Level 413-7

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52-Week High 648-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 559-1
Fibonacci 50% 531-4
Fibonacci 38.2% 503-7
Last Price 415-6
52-Week Low 414-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

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