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Brazilian Real Mar '16 (L6H16)

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Brazilian Real Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rallies to a 5-Month High on Rising Bond Yields and Weak Stocks

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday rose by +0.16% and posted a 5-1/4 month high.  The dollar gave up overnight losses Monday and moved higher as the 10-year T-note yield jumped to a 5-month high after US March retail sales rose more than expected, a hawkish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the failure of stocks to hold an early rally as they turned lower Monday afternoon sparked some liquidity demand for the dollar.

The dollar on Monday initially moved lower on reduced liquidity demand as stocks rallied after geopolitical concerns eased on hopes diplomatic efforts will contain the conflict between Iran and Israel.  Also, dovish comments from New York Fed President Williams undercut the dollar when he said he expects the Fed to start cutting interest rates this year. 

US Mar retail sales rose +0.7% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.4% m/m.  Also, Mar retail sales ex-autos rose +1.1% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.5% m/m and the biggest increase in 14 months.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Brazilian Real
Contract Size
BRL 100,000
Tick Size
0.00005 points ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$100,000
Margin/Maintenance
$935/850
First Notice Date
02/29/16
Expiration Date
02/29/16 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Brazilian Real Mar '16
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 9, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
17,384 (-755)
16,853 (+73)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
33,440 (+3,122)
36,056 (+2,477)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
13,635 (+4,885)
10,219 (-233)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
19,769 (-1,456)
21,959 (+922)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
13,946 (-896)
17,884 (+1,845)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
3,313 (-149)
2,686 (+33)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.24410 +2.95%
on 02/17/16
0.25785 -2.54%
on 02/04/16
+0.00335 (+1.35%)
since 01/29/16
3-Month
0.23580 +6.57%
on 01/21/16
0.26260 -4.30%
on 12/09/15
-0.00490 (-1.91%)
since 11/27/15
52-Week
0.22940 +9.55%
on 09/23/15
0.31310 -19.74%
on 03/02/15
-0.06545 (-20.66%)
since 02/27/15

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DXY00 : 106.246 (+0.04%)
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^USDJPY : 154.514 (+0.15%)
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SIK24 : 28.395 (-1.12%)
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DXY00 : 106.246 (+0.04%)
^EURUSD : 1.06280 (+0.03%)
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SIK24 : 28.395 (-1.12%)
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$SPX : 5,061.82 (-1.20%)
SPY : 504.45 (-1.25%)
$DOWI : 37,735.11 (-0.65%)
DIA : 377.31 (-0.67%)
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QQQ : 431.06 (-1.65%)
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DXY00 : 106.246 (+0.04%)
^EURUSD : 1.06280 (+0.03%)
^USDJPY : 154.514 (+0.15%)
GCM24 : 2,386.3 (+0.14%)
SIK24 : 28.395 (-1.12%)
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$SPX : 5,061.82 (-1.20%)
SPY : 504.45 (-1.25%)
$DOWI : 37,735.11 (-0.65%)
DIA : 377.31 (-0.67%)
$IUXX : 17,706.83 (-1.65%)
QQQ : 431.06 (-1.65%)
ZNM24 : 107-235 (-0.14%)
JPM : 182.89 (+0.05%)
AMD : 160.32 (-1.81%)
INTC : 36.31 (+1.74%)
GFS : 47.26 (-4.29%)
ON : 65.64 (-1.50%)
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DXY00 : 106.246 (+0.04%)
^EURUSD : 1.06280 (+0.03%)
^USDJPY : 154.514 (+0.15%)
GCM24 : 2,386.3 (+0.14%)
SIK24 : 28.395 (-1.12%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 0.25330
1st Resistance Point 0.25230
Last Price 0.25130s
1st Support Level 0.24995
2nd Support Level 0.24860
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 0.31310
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.28113
Fibonacci 50% 0.27125
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.26137
Last Price 0.25130s
52-Week Low 0.22940

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