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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls and Gold Rallies as US CPI Trails Estimates

The dollar index (DXY00) is down by -0.55% today.  The dollar is retreating today after US June consumer prices rose less than expected, a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the benign CPI report has reduced the chances of a Fed rate hike at the FOMC meeting later this month to 12% from 43% on Monday, further weighing on the dollar.   

Losses in the dollar are limited after Fed Chair Warsh said the US economy is resilient and growing at a solid pace.  Also, escalating hostilities in the Middle East are boosting safe-haven demand for the dollar after US forces launched another round of strikes against Iran today and the UAE said Iran attacked two oil tankers in Omani waters.  In addition, today’s +3% jump in crude oil prices to a1-month high raises inflation expectations and could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, a supportive factor for the dollar. 

US Jun CPI eased to +3.5% y/y from +4.2% y/y in May, a slower pace of increase than expectations of +3.8% y/y. ... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 7, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
460,669 (+12,196)
470,693 (-2,459)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
223,430 (-12,228)
239,657 (+5,098)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
43,012 (+3,109)
289,135 (-4,233)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
478,070 (+7,468)
224,152 (+8,708)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
87,460 (-14,807)
132,921 (-1,990)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,853 (+1,934)
11,438 (-2,110)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.13246 +1.07%
on 06/24/26
1.16217 -1.52%
on 06/15/26
-0.01225 (-1.06%)
since 06/12/26
3-Month
1.13246 +1.07%
on 06/24/26
1.18490 -3.41%
on 04/17/26
-0.03505 (-2.97%)
since 04/14/26
52-Week
1.13246 +1.07%
on 06/24/26
1.20806 -5.26%
on 01/27/26
-0.02190 (-1.88%)
since 07/14/25

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.14938
2nd Resistance Point 1.14698
1st Resistance Point 1.14256
Last Price 1.14480
1st Support Level 1.13574
2nd Support Level 1.13334
3rd Support Level 1.12892

See More

52-Week High 1.20806
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.17918
Fibonacci 50% 1.17026
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.16134
Last Price 1.14480
52-Week Low 1.13246

See More

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